FNUS72 KMLB 250812
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAPPY CREEK...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
412 AM EDT WED JUL 25 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRIER AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION WILL LIMIT
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TODAY...HOWEVER THE POSSIBILITY OF A
THUNDERSTORM MOVING ACROSS THE BURN AREA DURING THE MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL INCREASE TO 8 TO 10 MPH DURING THE MID TO LATE
MORNING HOURS. THE OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DELAY THE ONSET OF
THE SEA BREEZE UNTIL MID AFTERNOON WITH WINDS BEHIND THE SEA
BREEZE EXPECTED TO BE FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 7 TO 9 MPH.
GUSTY AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL OCCUR NEAR ANY AFTERNOON
STORMS...EVEN IF THEY DO NOT REACH THE BURN AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH...BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....67.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....                ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....                TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............84  87  90  90  90  91  89  88  87  86  85  84
RH..............72  68  62  62  62  60  64  63  68  70  72  74
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  S   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..8   9   9   8   7   7   8   8   9   8   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10      10  10  10  11

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH BECOMING DECREASING
                    TO AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1800 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............8.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....47.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...MOSES
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL GOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120725.HAPPY.01/MLB