FNUS72 KTAE 251221
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 37...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
821 AM EDT WED JUL 25 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON JULY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850) 942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...TYPICAL OF MID SUMMER...LOW LEVEL HUMIDITY IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS FOR THE FORESEEABLE
FUTURE. THIS WILL PRECLUDE RED FLAG CRITERIA FROM BEING MET OVER
THE NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 THIS MORNING FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION..........59.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........34     52     52     69     57
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS
TEMP............81     87     89     91     93
RH..............82     69     63     57     53
20 FT WIND......W 4    W 4    S 4    S 4    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING THEN BECOMING PARTLY WITH A
                    20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................50 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION..........5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........57     48     48     45     42     42
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  NONE   NONE
TEMP............90     85     82     79     78     77
RH..............59     74     82     87     88     89
20 FT WIND......SW 4   SW 2   SW 2   SW 2   SW 2   SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................40 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL THIS MORNING INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION..........36.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........41     40     40     53     66     66
WEATHER COV.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   TSTMS TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS
TEMP............76     75     82     86     89     92
RH..............93     99     79     66     59     55
20 FT WIND......SW 2   W 3    W 4    W 5    W 5    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     15

$$

FORECASTER...JIM BOLDEN
REQUESTED BY...DAVID QUISENBERRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120725.BURNU.01/TAE