FNUS73 KUNR 251359
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR FALLS FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
759 AM MDT WED JUL 25 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0714 MDT ON JULY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE SITE THIS AFTERNOON WITH
WINDS POSSIBLY SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT. HIGHS
WILL BE COOLER...IN THE MID 80S. A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL
RETURN THIS AFTERNOON. DRY WEATHER AND NORTHWEST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TOMORROW AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................12 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8800 TO 9800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................6 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 16 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10800 TO 11800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...CALDERON
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS STOVER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120725.FALLS.01/UNR