FNUS75 KBOU 261642 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GOURD LAKE MED-EVAC...COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1042 AM MDT THU JUL 26 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...CUMULUS CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD AND THICKEN AT THE RESCUE SITE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. THERE IS JUST ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLY DEVELOPING AFTER 1200. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD WITH LIGHT UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY WINDS DURING THE DAY AND LIGHT DOWNSLOPE WINDS AT NIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1400...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....72. MIN HUMIDITY........27%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9000-10000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200. MIN TEMPERATURE.....46. MAX HUMIDITY........67%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN SOUTH 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....74. MIN HUMIDITY........29%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY WINDS 6-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 1600-2600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 6000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 8800 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 10400-11400 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 7800-8800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0600. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GOURD LAKEMED-EVAC. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/26-10 18 0 0 65 40 SW 5 5 2 1 W28 8457 NW14 98883 G 07/26-11 21 0 0 68 34 SE 3 3 2 1 NW26 9454 W14 115210 V 07/26-12 33 19 3 71 30 E 3 3 2 3 NW25 10450 W15 131538 V 07/26-13 45 19 3 72 28 E 3 3 2 3 NW23 10396 W14 123299 V 07/26-14 51 19 3 72 27 NE 3 3 2 3 NW21 10342 W13 115060 V 07/26-15 56 21 4 70 28 NE 3 3 2 3 NW20 10288 W12 106820 V 07/26-16 56 21 4 67 32 NE 5 5 2 3 NW20 9314 NW 9 82828 G 07/26-17 56 21 4 65 34 NE 7 7 2 3 NW18 8339 NW 8 58836 F 07/26-18 56 16 3 65 35 NE 8 8 2 3 NW18 7365 NW 6 34843 P 07/26-19 56 16 3 63 38 E 8 8 2 3 NW15 5046 N 7 24282 P 07/26-20 56 16 3 60 44 SE 8 8 2 3 NW13 2728 E 8 13721 P 07/26-21 41 16 3 57 48 S 7 7 2 3 NW 9 409 SE 9 3161 P 07/26-22 41 6 1 54 53 S 7 7 2 1 NW 8 371 SE 9 2897 P 07/26-23 41 6 1 52 57 SE 7 7 2 1 N 7 333 SE 9 2633 P 07/27-00 26 0 0 50 61 SE 7 7 2 1 N 7 295 SE 9 2370 P 07/27-01 26 0 0 49 61 SE 6 6 2 1 N 7 290 SE 8 2120 P 07/27-02 26 0 0 48 62 S 6 6 2 1 N 6 285 SE 8 1870 P 07/27-03 26 0 0 48 63 S 5 5 2 1 NW 6 280 SE 7 1620 P 07/27-04 26 0 0 47 63 S 5 5 2 1 NW 6 264 S 7 1640 P 07/27-05 26 0 0 47 64 S 6 6 2 1 W 5 248 S 8 1661 P 07/27-06 26 14 3 46 67 SW 6 6 2 1 W 5 231 S 8 1682 P 07/27-07 26 14 3 48 65 SW 6 6 2 1 SW 6 1173 S 8 8817 P 07/27-08 26 14 3 53 55 SW 5 5 2 1 SW 7 2115 SW 8 15952 P 07/27-09 26 15 3 61 44 SW 5 5 2 3 SW 8 3056 SW 9 23087 P 07/27-10 45 15 3 66 37 SW 6 6 2 3 SW10 5926 SW 9 51666 F 07/27-11 45 15 3 70 32 SW 8 8 2 3 W12 8795 SW10 80245 G 07/27-12 82 30 9 74 29 SW 9 14 2 4 W13 11665 SW10 108823 V 07/27-13 82 30 9 74 29 SW 9 14 2 4 W13 11094 SW10 104412 V 07/27-14 82 30 9 74 29 SW 9 14 2 4 SW13 10522 SW12 100001 V 07/27-15 82 30 9 72 31 SW 9 14 2 4 SW12 9951 SW12 95590 G 07/27-16 82 30 9 69 35 W 9 14 2 4 SW13 8886 SW12 86052 G 07/27-17 82 30 9 67 36 W 9 14 2 4 SW14 7821 SW12 76514 G 07/27-18 72 30 9 67 37 W 9 14 2 4 W14 6756 W12 66976 G 07/27-19 72 30 9 65 40 W 9 9 2 4 W12 5382 W13 56197 F 07/27-20 72 30 9 62 45 W 8 8 2 4 W 8 4007 W14 45418 F 07/27-21 72 30 9 62 45 W 8 13 3 4 NW12 2838 W17 43355 F 07/27-22 72 30 9 60 48 W 8 8 3 4 NW10 2119 W16 31339 P 07/27-23 72 30 9 58 50 W 7 7 3 4 W 9 1400 W14 19323 P 07/28-00 51 10 2 55 54 W 7 7 3 1 W 9 682 W13 7307 P 07/28-01 51 10 2 53 57 W 7 7 3 1 W 9 541 W12 5573 P 07/28-02 51 10 2 52 60 W 6 6 3 1 W10 399 W10 3839 P 07/28-03 51 10 2 50 62 W 6 6 3 1 W10 258 W 9 2105 P 07/28-04 51 10 2 49 64 W 6 6 3 1 W 9 257 W 9 1991 P 07/28-05 51 10 2 49 64 W 6 6 3 1 W 8 256 W 8 1878 P 07/28-06 57 5 1 50 63 W 6 6 3 1 W 7 254 W 8 1764 P 07/28-07 57 5 1 51 59 W 7 7 3 1 W 6 865 W 8 6522 P 07/28-08 57 5 1 55 52 W 8 8 3 1 SW 5 1476 W 8 11280 P 07/28-09 57 20 4 59 45 W 8 13 3 3 SW 3 2087 W 9 16037 P 07/28-10 57 20 4 63 40 W 7 7 3 3 SW 5 4198 W 7 17726 P 07/28-11 57 20 4 65 37 W 7 7 3 3 S 6 6309 W 5 19414 P 07/28-12 79 30 9 67 35 W 6 6 3 4 S 9 8420 SW 3 21103 P 07/28-13 79 30 9 68 34 W 6 6 3 4 S14 8735 SW 5 33233 P 07/28-14 79 30 9 69 34 W 7 7 3 4 S20 9049 SW 6 45363 F 07/28-15 79 30 9 70 35 W 7 7 3 4 SW23 9364 SW 7 57494 F 07/28-16 79 30 9 70 35 W 6 6 3 4 SW22 9085 W 5 38764 P 07/28-17 79 30 9 69 37 W 3 3 3 4 SW17 8807 NW 2 20034 P 07/28-18 83 31 10 68 39 CALM 1 3 4 SW14 8528 CALM 1304 P 07/28-19 83 31 10 66 42 CALM 0 3 4 SW12 6360 CALM 1772 P 07/28-20 83 31 10 63 47 CALM 0 3 4 SW12 4191 CALM 2239 P 07/28-21 83 31 10 59 53 CALM 1 3 4 W10 2023 CALM 2707 P 07/28-22 83 31 10 57 57 SW 2 2 3 4 W 8 1514 SW 2 2547 P 07/28-23 83 31 10 56 60 SW 2 2 3 4 W 7 1006 SW 3 2387 P 07/29-00 67 10 2 54 64 SW 3 3 3 2 W 5 497 W 5 2227 P 07/29-01 67 10 2 52 69 SW 3 3 3 2 W 5 420 W 6 1955 P 07/29-02 67 10 2 50 72 SW 5 5 3 2 W 5 343 W 6 1683 P 07/29-03 67 10 2 49 74 W 5 5 3 2 W 5 266 W 6 1411 P 07/29-04 67 10 2 48 76 W 5 5 3 2 W 7 260 W 6 1369 P 07/29-05 67 10 2 48 76 W 5 5 2 2 W 8 255 W 6 1327 P 07/29-06 59 10 2 48 75 W 5 5 2 2 W10 250 W 6 1284 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...SGT NEAL MCQUARIE REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20120726.GOURD.01/BOU