FNUS75 KPUB 271014
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR WALDO CANYON...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
414 AM MDT FRI JUL 27 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A SURGE OF MOISTURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE OF COLORADO TODAY.
ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FALL ACROSS THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE REGION...SOME OF THIS MOISTURE MAY MAKE IT ACROSS AND AFFECT
THE WALDO BURN SCAR. HIGH RESOLUTION COMPUTER MODELS ARE
SHOWING UP TO AN INCH OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER AND NEAR THE
BURN SCAR TODAY...WHILE OTHER SIMULATIONS SHOW JUST LIGHT RAIN. THE
BEST CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE FROM 1400 TO 1800. AT THIS TIME I EXPECT
0.10 INCH TO 0.25 INCHES TO OCCUR IN AND NEAR THE BURN SCAR.

WINDS WILL BE A BIT STRONGER TODAY THAN THE LAST FEW DAYS...ESPECIALLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(46 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 4 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 1000 THEN
                    SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH BECOMING WEST SOUTHWEST
                    10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH AFTER 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 13000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 0800.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(67 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(46 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57F.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE 4 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2100. POOR AFTER 2400.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2100...THEN 3.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(49 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    SOUTHEAST 4 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 11500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    NORTHEAST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...HODANISH
REQUESTED BY...JOHN MASTERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120726.WALDO.01/PUB