FNUS73 KUNR 261729
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE FLAT...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1129 AM MDT THU JUL 26 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1112 MDT ON JULY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY AND MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM MAY DEVELOP OVER THE BLACK HILLS THIS AFTERNOON...BUT
THAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN EAST OF THE BURN AREA. WINDS WILL BE
DOMINATED BY TERRAIN EFFECTS TODAY...BUT LATE TONIGHT THE WINDS
WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST...AND MAY BE GUSTY TOWARD SUNRISE FRIDAY.
THE SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY...AND A STORM SYSTEM WILL
APPROACH BRINGING WITH IT A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE WARMER FRIDAY THAN TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 85.
RH..................MIN 24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS UPSLOPE 3 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 TO 8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 60.
RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING EAST-SOUTHEAST
                    3 TO 7 MPH AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN SOUTHEAST
                    AFTER 300 AM AND POSSIBLY GUSTING TO 15-18 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 TO 700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST
                    5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR DECREASING TO POOR EARLY IN THE EVENING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY EARLY...CLOUDS DEVELOPING BY THE
                    AFTERNOON...WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    200 PM MDT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 91.
RH..................MIN 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH...WITH SOME GUSTS
                    TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 TO 9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12
                    TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MB
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120726.LITTL.01/UNR