FNUS75 KBYZ 272023
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR SKIBSTAD...MONTANA DNRC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
223 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1353 MDT ON JULY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WILL BEGIN TO
MOVE TOWARDS THE FIRE AREA BY 1600. THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE
CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40
MPH ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. THESE STORMS WILL PERSIST
INTO THE EVENING HOURS WITH MULTIPLE STORMS MOVING OVER AND NEAR
THE FIRE AREA. THIS WILL CAUSE WIND DIRECTIONS TO BE ERRATIC UNTIL
LATER THIS EVENING WHEN WINDS BECOME WESTERLY AROUND 10 MPH.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER ON SATURDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
STRENGTHENS A BIT OVER THE REGION. THIS WILL PUSH HUMIDITY BELOW
20 PERCENT AND THE AIRMASS WILL BE DRIER ALLOWING FOR MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES UNTIL LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE BUT NOT UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. BORSUM

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1600.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SHIFTING DIRECTIONS MULTIPLE TIMES. GENERALLY
                    10 TO 15 MPH BUT GUSTS TO 40 MPH NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......ERRATIC AROUND 15 MPH THROUGH THE EVENING WITH GUSTS
                    TO 40 MPH NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. BECOMING WEST WINDS 8
                    TO 12 MPH AFTER 2200.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................8 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-97.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BORSUM
REQUESTED BY...ALLEN FARNSWORTH-FBAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120727.SKIBS.02/BYZ