FNUS73 KUNR 280155
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER RESERVOIR...IC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
755 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1941 MDT ON JULY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST
ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING...WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY MORNING. LIGHT SOUTHWEST
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER 3 AM...INCREASING TO
AROUND 10 MPH AS A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.
WARM DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ON SATURDAY...WITH MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALLING INTO THE UPPER 20S UNDER DEEP MIXING.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 3 AM.
CWR.................23 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12600 TO 13600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...JC
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120727.UPPER.01/UNR