FNUS73 KSGF 291829 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR POTATO CAVE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 129 PM CDT SUN JUL 29 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1317 CDT ON JULY 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT MONDAY... .DISCUSSION... VERY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT IN THE AREA OF THE FIRE. THERE IS A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IN THE REGION...BUT MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL RESULT IN GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE FIRE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO DROP THIS AFTERNOON...LIKELY BOTTOMING OUT IN THE UPPER TEENS OR LOW 20S. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES...GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE SOUTHERLY AND PERHAPS SLIGHTLY SOUTHWESTERLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE AS THE SUN SETS THIS EVENING. SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR TOMORROW ACROSS THE REGION OF THE FIRE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SOMEWHAT WARMER...HOWEVER...RESULTING IN LOWER RH VALUES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS WILL SHIFT... BECOMING GUSTY FROM THE NORTHWEST. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....98 AT REQUEST...MAX 102. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 23 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. WIND SHIFT..........TURNING TO SOUTH-SOUTHWEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL AT REQUEST...MAXIMUM 6800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............96 100 100 RH..............30 25 23 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....5500 6000 6800 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 12 SW 14 SW 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 72. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 70 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. WIND SHIFT..........BECOMING WESTERLY BY MORNING. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............99 92 84 81 78 75 RH..............24 30 43 52 59 65 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 5 S 4 SW 3 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....7400 5200 200 BLW100 200 200 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 16 SW 15 SW 13 SW 10 SW 9 W 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 6 6 6 6 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 105. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 19 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND SHIFT..........WEST IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............72 78 91 100 104 103 RH..............73 61 39 26 21 19 20 FT WIND......SW 2 W 5 W 7 W 8 W 8 NW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....100 BLW100 1100 7300 11800 12000 TRANSPORT WIND..W 9 W 10 W 13 W 15 W 16 W 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 73. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 50 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. WIND SHIFT..........WINDS NORTHWEST TO NORTH. CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............100 93 83 78 75 74 73 80 89 95 99 102 RH..............22 30 44 55 65 71 79 63 43 32 26 23 20 FT WIND......N 5 N 4 N 3 N 2 N 2 N 2 N 1 N 1 N 1 N 1 N 1 W 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....9500 4800 100 BLW100 100 100 100 BLW100 700 4300 8500 10900 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 14 NW 12 N 8 NE 6 NE 5 N 5 NW 6 W 7 W 8 W 8 W 8 W 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 6 $$ FORECASTER...BOXELL REQUESTED BY...RYAN KINGSLEY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120729.POTAT.01/SGF