FNUS73 KSGF 300954 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR POTATO CAVE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 454 AM CDT MON JUL 30 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1633 CDT ON JULY 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... VERY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN OCCUR TODAY IN THE AREA OF THE FIRE. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DOES DEVELOP WILL PRODUCE STRONG AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE FIRE REGION WILL DROP BELOW 30 PERCENT BY LATE THIS MORNING...THEN TO AROUND 20 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY THIS MORNING BETWEEN 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 20 MPH. THIS AFTERNOON WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWESTERLY AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE AT TIMES. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT THIS EVENING. THE HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY AS AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES AGAIN DROP BELOW 25 PERCENT...THOUGH WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER ON TUESDAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 103. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 21 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND SHIFT..........WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM THE WEST SOUTHWEST TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............75 79 92 99 100 101 RH..............67 58 35 24 22 21 20 FT WIND......SW 2 W 4 W 8 W 10 NW 10 NW 9 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....100 400 1300 3300 5000 6000 TRANSPORT WIND..W 14 W 14 W 18 W 21 W 22 NW 18 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 75. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 70 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. WIND SHIFT..........NONE CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............100 94 85 81 78 76 RH..............23 29 41 52 61 67 20 FT WIND......N 6 N 4 N 3 N 2 NW 1 W 1 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....7900 5600 200 BLW100 100 100 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 15 NW 13 N 10 N 9 NE 8 NE 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 103. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 24 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND SHIFT..........NONE CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............75 79 89 97 102 102 RH..............72 61 42 31 25 24 20 FT WIND......NW 1 NW 1 W 2 W 2 W 3 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....100 200 1100 3400 6700 9900 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 6 N 5 NW 3 W 2 W 2 NW 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 20 20 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 6 $$ FORECASTER...WISE REQUESTED BY...RYAN KINGSLEY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120729.POTAT.02/SGF