FNUS75 KTFX 292145
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELBOW PASS...LEWIS & CLARK NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
345 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1505 MDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT REMAINS OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKY
MOUNTAINS FOR CONTINUED VERY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS AT THE BURN
AREA. VARIABLE WINDS OBSERVED THIS AFTERNOON APPEAR TO BE RELATED
TO TERRAIN EFFECTS AND ATMOSPHERIC MIXING OF EXTREMELY VARIABLE
MID LEVEL WINDS. AS A RESULT...FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR WIND
DIRECTION IS POOR AT THIS TIME. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AS WELL AS MONDAY AFTERNOON.
AT THIS TIME RADAR/SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING STORMS SOUTH OF
HELENA AND MOVING TO THE EAST SO DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY ACTIVITY
OVER THE BURN AREA FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. MPJ

 PARTLY
CLOUDY CONDITIONS

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2
HAINES..............3
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN 1.
HAINES..............3
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWN SLOPE/DOWN CANYON WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH. VARIABLE
                    GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH IN THE EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH IN THE EVENING.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY EARLY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2.
HAINES..............3
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. VARIABLE GUSTS UP
                    TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 12 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MPJ
REQUESTED BY...MARK CONWAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120729.ELBOW.02/TFX