FNUS75 KBOU 302011 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR DEADMAN GULCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 211 PM MDT MON JUL 30 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS IS IN PLACE THIS AFTERNOON WHICH WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AS THEY TRAVEL EASTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. MULTIPLE PERIODS OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE AS SHOWERS REGENERATE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. DURING THE EVENING SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH AND GIVE WAY TO CLEARING SKIES. MORE SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON TUESDAY AS THE MONSOON FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE STATE. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-86. MIN HUMIDITY........34-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 5-10 MPH...EXCEPT VARIABLE UP TO 30 MPH NEAR SHOWERS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8000-9000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-60. MAX HUMIDITY........74-80%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-10 MPH UNTIL 2100... THEN SOUTH 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH UNTIL 0300. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-87. MIN HUMIDITY........28-36%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHEAST 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 1500-2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 5000-6000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 7000-8000 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 5500 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR DEADMANGULCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/30-13 70 60 38 82 35 SE 8 8 2 5 W20 9071 W 9 72924 G 07/30-14 81 60 38 83 34 SE 8 8 2 5 W18 9058 SW10 77447 G 07/30-15 81 60 38 80 37 SE 8 8 2 5 W18 9045 SW10 81969 G 07/30-16 81 60 38 79 39 SE 7 7 2 5 W17 8514 W10 77944 G 07/30-17 80 60 38 79 39 E 7 7 2 5 W16 7983 W10 73919 G 07/30-18 80 50 26 78 42 E 6 6 2 4 W16 7452 W10 69894 G 07/30-19 80 50 26 74 49 SE 6 6 2 4 W17 5094 W 8 46851 F 07/30-20 80 50 26 69 57 S 6 6 2 4 W20 2736 SW 5 23808 P 07/30-21 80 50 26 67 63 S 6 6 2 4 W22 378 S 2 766 P 07/30-22 63 50 26 66 64 S 5 5 2 4 W24 331 S 3 829 P 07/30-23 63 50 26 63 70 SW 5 5 2 4 W26 283 S 3 892 P 07/31-00 49 10 2 62 73 SW 3 3 2 1 W26 236 S 5 955 P 07/31-01 49 10 2 61 73 SW 3 3 2 1 W26 213 S 5 870 P 07/31-02 46 10 2 61 73 W 3 3 3 1 W25 189 SW 5 785 P 07/31-03 46 10 2 61 73 W 3 3 3 1 W24 166 SW 5 699 P 07/31-04 42 10 2 60 73 W 3 3 3 1 W24 159 SW 5 623 P 07/31-05 42 10 2 59 75 W 5 5 2 1 W23 152 SW 5 546 P 07/31-06 47 9 2 59 75 W 5 5 2 1 W23 145 SW 3 470 P 07/31-07 47 9 2 60 71 SW 3 3 2 1 W22 925 W 5 6043 P 07/31-08 47 9 2 66 57 S 2 2 2 1 W21 1705 W 7 11617 P 07/31-09 47 9 2 73 45 SE 2 2 2 1 W21 2485 W 8 17190 P 07/31-10 47 9 2 78 38 SE 3 3 2 1 W22 4438 W 9 43304 F 07/31-11 47 9 2 81 34 SE 6 6 2 1 W24 6390 W12 69418 G 07/31-12 60 36 14 82 32 SE 8 8 2 4 W25 8343 W13 95532 G 07/31-13 60 36 14 83 30 SE 8 8 2 4 W25 8161 W10 77309 G 07/31-14 60 36 14 85 29 SE 8 8 3 4 W24 7980 W 8 59087 F 07/31-15 60 36 14 82 31 E 8 8 3 4 W23 7798 SW 6 40865 F 07/31-16 60 36 14 80 33 SE 8 8 3 4 W21 6596 SW 6 32031 P 07/31-17 60 36 14 81 32 SW 7 7 3 4 W17 5394 S 5 23197 P 07/31-18 58 26 6 79 34 W 7 7 3 4 W14 4191 S 3 14363 P 07/31-19 58 26 6 75 39 W 7 7 3 4 W10 2915 S 6 10430 P 07/31-20 58 26 6 74 40 W 7 7 3 4 W 8 1638 SW 7 6497 P 07/31-21 58 26 6 73 42 W 7 7 3 4 W 6 361 SW 8 2564 P 07/31-22 58 26 6 71 45 W 8 8 3 4 W 7 614 SW 6 2795 P 07/31-23 58 26 6 69 48 W 8 8 3 4 W 7 439 W 7 2296 P 08/01-00 25 6 1 67 52 W 9 14 3 1 W 8 264 W 8 1797 P 08/01-01 25 6 1 64 56 W 9 15 3 1 W 8 244 W 8 1733 P 08/01-02 25 6 1 63 59 W10 15 3 1 W 9 224 W 9 1669 P 08/01-03 25 6 1 62 61 W10 16 3 1 W 9 203 W 9 1605 P 08/01-04 25 6 1 61 63 W10 16 3 1 W10 177 W 9 1436 P 08/01-05 25 6 1 61 63 W12 17 3 1 W12 151 W10 1267 P 08/01-06 23 9 2 61 62 W12 17 3 1 W13 125 W10 1098 P 08/01-07 23 9 2 62 58 W12 16 3 1 W10 808 W10 7538 P 08/01-08 23 9 2 68 47 SW10 15 3 1 W 8 1492 W10 13978 P 08/01-09 23 9 2 74 38 SW 9 14 3 1 W 7 2175 W10 20418 P 08/01-10 23 9 2 79 32 S 8 8 3 1 W 9 5374 W 9 39501 P 08/01-11 23 9 2 82 29 SE 7 7 3 1 SW12 8573 SW 9 58583 F 08/01-12 42 18 4 84 27 E 6 6 3 3 S14 11772 S 8 77665 G 08/01-13 42 18 4 86 25 E 6 6 3 3 S13 12199 SW 7 79174 G 08/01-14 42 18 4 87 24 NE 7 7 3 3 SW10 12626 SW 7 80684 G 08/01-15 55 23 5 88 24 NE 7 7 3 3 SW 8 13054 SW 7 82193 G 08/01-16 55 23 5 88 24 NE 7 7 3 3 W 9 12827 W 8 84744 G 08/01-17 55 23 5 88 25 N 6 6 3 3 W12 12600 W 8 87296 G 08/01-18 55 23 5 86 26 N 6 6 3 3 W14 12374 W 8 89848 G 08/01-19 54 16 3 84 29 NW 6 6 3 3 W14 9485 W 9 71617 G 08/01-20 54 16 3 80 34 W 6 6 3 3 W15 6596 W10 53386 F 08/01-21 54 16 3 75 40 W 7 7 3 3 W15 3707 W10 35155 P 08/01-22 54 16 3 73 44 W 8 8 3 3 W14 2571 W12 24385 P 08/01-23 54 16 3 71 47 W 8 8 3 3 W13 1434 W12 13615 P 08/02-00 25 4 1 68 51 W 9 14 3 1 W12 298 W12 2845 P 08/02-01 25 4 1 65 55 W10 15 3 1 W13 252 W12 2458 P 08/02-02 25 4 1 63 59 W12 16 3 1 W14 206 W12 2071 P 08/02-03 25 4 1 62 61 W12 17 3 1 W15 160 W13 1684 P 08/02-04 25 4 1 61 62 W12 17 3 1 W16 158 W12 1630 P 08/02-05 25 4 1 60 61 W12 17 3 1 W16 156 W12 1576 P 08/02-06 22 3 1 61 59 W10 16 3 1 W15 154 W12 1522 P 08/02-07 22 3 1 62 56 W 8 8 1 08/02-08 22 3 1 68 46 NW 7 7 1 08/02-09 22 3 1 73 38 NW 5 5 1 08/02-10 22 3 1 78 32 N 3 3 1 08/02-11 22 3 1 81 29 N 3 3 1 08/02-12 39 9 2 83 27 NE 3 3 1 08/02-13 39 9 2 85 25 N 3 3 1 08/02-14 39 9 2 86 23 NW 3 3 1 08/02-15 39 9 2 87 23 NW 3 3 1 08/02-16 39 9 2 87 22 NW 3 3 1 08/02-17 39 9 2 87 22 W 5 5 1 08/02-18 46 10 2 85 23 SW 5 5 2 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FORT COLLINS DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120730.DEADM.01/BOU