FNUS75 KPUB 311011
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR WALDO...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
411 AM MDT TUE JUL 31 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

MONSOON MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM INTO COLORADO...WITH
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ONCE AGAIN DEVELOPING OVER THE BURN SCAR
BY MIDDAY. THE THREAT OF CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
EVENING...AND MAY EVEN LINGER PAST MIDNIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT FROM
THE STORMS WILL BE LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

THE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OBSERVED ACROSS THE ENTIRE BURN SCAR ON
MONDAY MAKES FOR SATURATED...LOOSE GROUND...AND IT WILL NOT TAKE
MUCH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TODAY TO ONCE AGAIN CREATE FLASH FLOODING
PROBLEMS. CLOSE MONITORING OF THE SCAR FOR FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL
WILL BE REQUIRED TODAY.

--- THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ---

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(58 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79F.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 11000 FT AGL AFTER 0900.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL 1700...THEN SOUTH
                    AROUND 3 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (66 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (49 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0300...THEN ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57F.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 0300...THEN 3.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    1200...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80F.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH THROUGH 0700...
                    THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-8 MPH BY 0900.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL UNTIL 0700. 11500 FT AGL
                    AFTER 0800.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 1400...THEN EAST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...MOORE
REQUESTED BY...MARK LEEPER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120730.WALDO.01/PUB