FNUS75 KSLC 311046
FWSSLC

SPOT FORECAST FOR SEELEY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
446 AM MDT TUE JUL 31 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON THROUGH 10 PM MDT TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...A MONSOONAL SURGE IS UNDERWAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE.
WITH HIGH LEVELS OF ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AND LITTLE STEERING FLOW...ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
WILL BE CAPABLE OF QUICKLY DROPPING HEAVY AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION. GIVEN
THIS POSSIBILITY...THERE IS A THREAT MUD SLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ONCE
AGAIN TODAY. WINDS WILL LIKELY BE ERRATIC AND GUSTY AT TIMES NEAR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING.

DRIER CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO BUILD INTO THE CENTRAL PART OF THE STATE
ON WEDNESDAY...WITH LESS CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED. THURSDAY WILL
CONTINUE THE DRYING TREND...WITH A MUCH SMALLER THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE WILDFIRE LOCATION.

.TODAY...
  LAL.................3 UNTIL NOON...THEN 5.
  HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.
  CLEARING INDEX......1000+.
  SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT CLOUD COVER)
                      UNTIL NOON...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90
                      PERCENT CLOUD COVER). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                      THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL NOON...THEN NUMEROUS
                      SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-64.
  MIN HUMIDITY........51-53 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                      GUSTS TO 20 MPH THIS MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH
                      TO SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER 1200. WINDS WILL
                      BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR ANY SHOWERS OR
                      THUNDERSTORMS.

.TONIGHT...
  LAL.................4 UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN 2.
  HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.
  SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT CLOUD COVER)
                      UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70
                      PERCENT CLOUD COVER). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                      THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN A SLIGHT
                      CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
  MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-54.
  MAX HUMIDITY........84-86 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING
                      LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER SUNSET.

.OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY...
  LAL.................2 UNTIL NOON...THEN 4.
  HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.
  CLEARING INDEX......1000.
  SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT CLOUD COVER)
                      THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT
                      CLOUD COVER). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                      THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-66.
  MIN HUMIDITY........47-49 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2 TO 5 MPH BECOMING
                      UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3 TO 6 MPH AFTER 1000.



FORECASTER...KRUSE
REQUESTED BY...JACK
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120730.SEELE.02/SLC

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