FNUS75 KBYZ 010114
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR PRELIMNAME_LAVINA_AREA...DNRC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
714 PM MDT TUE JUL 31 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1857 MDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A ROUND OF SCATTERED EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
FIRE AREA BETWEEN 715 PM AND 10 PM. THESE WILL PRODUCE LITTLE
RAIN FOR THE MOST PART WITH SOME WIND GUST TO NEAR 40 MPH
POSSIBLE...THOUGH MOST GUST WILL BE IN THE 25 TO 30 MPH RANGE.
GUSTS WITH THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE WEST TO NORTHWEST OR ERRATIC.
WINDS WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN EAST TO NORTHEAST THROUGH THE
EVENING...TURNING NORTH TO NORTHWEST LATE TONIGHT. HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES WILL BE POOR OVERNIGHT REACHING AROUND THE LOWER 40
PERCENT RANGE. HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TOMORROW
WITH LITTLE IF ANY CHANCE OF RAINFALL. LIGHT NORTHWEST WIND WILL
PREVAIL WEDNESDAY. BT


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED MAINLY DRY
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................13 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MAX HUMIDITY........39-47 PERCENT.
 RIDGETOP...........EAST TO SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TURNING NORTH
                    TO NORTHWEST LATE.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....92-97.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
 RIDGETOP...........LIGHT WINDS.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TESAR
REQUESTED BY...JACK O BRIEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120731.PRELI.01/BYZ