FNUS75 KGJT 010641
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE FAWN...MONTROSE DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1241 AM MDT WED AUG 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1951 MDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES THE HEAVY RAINS ON TUESDAY
FELL JUST TO THE WEST OF THE BURN SITE. TODAY IS ANOTHER CHANCE.
DEEP MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
MOST NUMEROUS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT MORNING SHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE WORKS THROUGH SOUTHEAST UTAH
ENHANCING CONVECTION. THIS MAY TAKE A FEW DEGREES OFF TODAY'S MAX
TEMPERATURE. NIGHTTIME STORMS ARE EXPECTED IN SW COLORADO OVERNIGHT.
MOISTURE BEGINS TO ERODE ON THURSDAY AND EXPECT STORMS WILL BE
LIMITED TO NEARBY MOUNTAINS. OUTFLOW WINDS ARE STILL A THREAT TO
OPERATIONS. DRIER AIR WORKS IN ON FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED STORMS IN
                    THE MORNING WITH SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNVALLEY WINDS 1-4 MPH SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST
                    2-7 MPH LATE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.


.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........62-67%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 2-5 MPH. EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNVALLEY WINDS 1-4 MPH SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST
                    2-7 MPH LATE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    POSSIBLE FROM MOUNTAIN THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...BLM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120731.LITTL.01/GJT