FNUS75 KPUB 310710
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR MANITOU SPRINGS FLOOD...PUEBLO DISPATCH/EL PASO COUNTY EM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
110 AM MDT TUE JUL 31 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

FLASH FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 2 AM FOR THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR AND
SURROUNDING AREAS.  AS MUCH AS 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS FALLEN
OVER THE BURN SCAR SINCE 4 PM MONDAY AFTERNOON.  THIS MAY NEED TO
BE EXTENDED PAST 2 AM IF REPORTS OF DEBRIS FLOWS CONTINUE AND/OR
MORE PRECIPITATION OCCURS ON THE BURN SCAR.

CURRENTLY...A SHOWER HAS DEVELOPED OVER MANITOU SPRINGS AND IS
TRACKING NORTHEAST INTO THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE BURN SCAR.  THIS
CELL IS JUST STARTING TO DEVELOP AND MAY PUT DOWN 0.10-0.20 INCHES
AS IT PASSES OVER THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE SCAR.

SO FAR THE HEAVY SHOWERS THAT WERE OVER PARK COUNTY HAVE TRACK
NORTHEAST INTO TELLER COUNTY AND HAVE MISSED THE BURN SCAR TO THE
NORTHWEST.  THE LINE STILL EXTENDS SOUTHWEST TO NEAR GUFFEY AND
THE OVERALL MOVEMENT IS EASTWARD.  THIS LINE SHOULD MAKE IT TO THE
BURN SCAR THROUGH THE NEXT 45 MINUTES AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO
PUT DOWN AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER TO HALF INCH OF RAIN.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 0500.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60F.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........VARIABLE OVERNIGHT LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(40 PERCENT) UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87F.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........LIGHT AND VARIABLE DURING THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 4 TO 9 MPH AFTER 1000.

$$
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH EL PASO COUNTY EM
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20120731.MANIT.02/PUB