FNUS73 KSGF 311043 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR POTATO CAVE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 543 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0159 CDT ON JULY 31. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... LIGHT RAIN AND SPRINKLES WERE OBSERVED NEAR THE POTATO CAVE WILDLAND FIRE EARLY THIS MORNING. MOST LIKELY ONLY TRACE AMOUNTS OF RAIN ACCUMULATED. ADDITIONAL LIGHT RAIN OR SPRINKLES WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER THIS MORNING...HOWEVER...THIS LIGHT RAIN WILL DISSIPATE BY 10 AM. THEREFORE...MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED NEAR THE FIRE. FOR TODAY...LOOK FOR TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO AROUND 102 DEGREES. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGHOUT THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP INTO THE LOW TO MID 20S...WHILE MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES PERSIST. HIGH MIXING HEIGHTS WILL EVOLVE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...VERY LITTLE CHANGES IN THE WEATHER PATTERN TAKE PLACE. THEREFORE...MOST LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI CAN EXPECT HOT AND DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 102. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 25 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. WIND SHIFT..........NO MAJOR WIND SHIFT EXPECTED. CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE TRANSPORT WINDS. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN NONE NONE NONE TEMP............79 84 91 96 98 100 RH..............58 57 40 32 28 25 20 FT WIND......N 1 N 2 N 2 NW 3 NW 2 NW 2 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 600 2100 5000 8100 TRANSPORT WIND..E 1 NE 1 N 2 W 3 W 3 S 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 20 20 20 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 76. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 62 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS. WIND SHIFT..........NO MAJOR WIND SHIFT EXPECTED. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............97 91 85 82 81 79 RH..............28 35 46 53 58 61 20 FT WIND......W 1 W 1 W 1 W 1 NW 0 E 1 20 FT WIND GUST.5 MIX HGT (FT)....9600 6300 100 BLW100 200 200 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 1 SE 2 SE 6 SE 8 S 9 S 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 102. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 26 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. WIND SHIFT..........NO MAJOR WIND SHIFT EXPECTED. CHANCE OF PRECIP....30 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 82 91 96 99 102 RH..............63 55 41 34 29 26 20 FT WIND......NE 1 N 1 NW 2 W 3 W 3 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....200 300 700 2000 4700 8000 TRANSPORT WIND..S 6 S 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 7 SE 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 30 30 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 6 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 75. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 49 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. WIND SHIFT..........NO MAJOR WIND SHIFT EXPECTED. CHANCE OF PRECIP....30 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............98 92 85 82 80 79 78 81 89 94 97 98 RH..............28 36 48 56 63 67 70 62 48 40 36 34 20 FT WIND......S 2 S 2 S 2 SE 2 SE 2 E 2 E 2 E 2 SE 2 SE 3 SE 4 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....9700 6300 100 BLW100 200 200 100 500 1000 700 700 1200 TRANSPORT WIND..E 12 E 13 E 10 SE 9 SE 8 S 8 S 9 S 9 S 9 S 9 S 9 SW 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 5 5 6 5 5 4 4 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...CRAMER REQUESTED BY...MARGE VANPRAAG TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120731.POTAT.01/SGF