FNUS75 KBOU 012335 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR UNDERLAND FIRE...COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 535 PM MDT WED AUG 1 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE ROUND OF SHOWERS NOW MOVING OUT OF THE FOOTHILLS MAY BE THE LAST SHOWER ACTIVITY OF THE EVENING. SKIES WILL BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR LATER THIS EVENING. LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE STATE ON THURSDAY AS MONSOONAL MOISTURE LINGERS OVER THE AREA. ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THURSDAY AFTERNOON AFTER STRONG DAYTIME HEATING EARLIER IN THE DAY. DRY AND CONTINUED WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY...THEN A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BRING A BREAK FROM THE HEAT ON SATURDAY. FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN WESTERLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1900...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1900...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67. MAX HUMIDITY........50-58%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 7000-8000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1000...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1400...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-90. MIN HUMIDITY........20-26%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 4-8 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN WEST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...RISING TO 11000-12000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000....THEN VERY GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000. MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-60. MAX HUMIDITY........48-54%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...DECREASING TO BELOW 1500 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-92. MIN HUMIDITY........12-18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN RISING TO 9500-10500 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0600. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR UNDERLAND FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/01-17 58 45 18 83 29 NW10 16 3 4 SW21 10312 W14 123962 V 08/01-18 64 30 9 80 33 W12 18 3 4 SW20 10086 W14 122377 V 08/01-19 64 30 9 77 38 W10 16 3 4 SW20 7737 W13 90809 G 08/01-20 64 20 4 73 44 W 8 14 3 3 SW18 5387 W12 59241 F 08/01-21 64 20 4 72 45 W 7 7 3 3 SW17 3038 W10 27673 P 08/01-22 64 20 4 69 50 W 7 7 3 3 SW16 2268 W10 20332 P 08/01-23 64 20 4 67 52 W 8 14 3 3 SW15 1497 W 9 12991 P 08/02-00 38 5 1 65 53 W 9 15 3 1 SW14 727 W 9 5650 P 08/02-01 38 5 1 67 49 W 9 14 3 1 SW13 811 W 9 6069 P 08/02-02 38 5 1 68 47 NW 8 13 3 1 W12 895 NW 8 6487 P 08/02-03 38 5 1 68 47 NW 7 7 3 1 W10 979 NW 8 6906 P 08/02-04 38 5 1 68 48 NW 7 7 3 1 W 9 876 NW 8 5812 P 08/02-05 38 5 1 67 50 W 6 6 3 1 W 9 773 NW 7 4717 P 08/02-06 58 5 1 67 50 W 6 6 3 1 W 9 670 NW 6 3623 P 08/02-07 58 5 1 70 46 W 5 5 3 1 NW10 2902 NW 6 12803 P 08/02-08 58 5 1 74 39 W 3 3 3 1 NW13 5135 NW 6 21983 P 08/02-09 58 5 1 77 35 W 2 2 3 1 N15 7367 N 5 31164 P 08/02-10 58 5 1 80 32 NW 2 2 3 1 N14 9246 N 6 46983 F 08/02-11 58 5 1 83 28 N 2 2 3 1 N13 11125 N 6 62802 G 08/02-12 49 25 5 83 27 N 3 3 3 4 N12 13004 N 7 78621 G 08/02-13 49 25 5 87 24 N 5 5 3 4 N 9 12794 N 8 87791 G 08/02-14 49 25 5 84 26 W 6 6 3 4 NW 8 12584 NW 9 96961 G 08/02-15 49 30 9 83 26 W 7 7 3 4 NW 8 12373 NW10 106132 V 08/02-16 49 30 9 81 28 W 7 7 3 4 NW10 12202 NW10 106980 V 08/02-17 49 30 9 83 25 SW 7 7 3 4 NW12 12030 NW10 107829 V 08/02-18 49 19 4 83 25 SW 7 7 3 3 NW14 11860 NW10 108682 V 08/02-19 49 19 4 81 28 SW 8 8 3 3 NW14 8922 NW10 80501 G 08/02-20 49 19 4 77 31 SW 8 8 3 3 NW14 5985 W 9 52319 F 08/02-21 49 5 1 73 36 SW 9 14 3 1 NW14 3048 W 9 24138 P 08/02-22 49 5 1 71 38 W 9 15 3 1 NW12 2136 W 9 17011 P 08/02-23 49 5 1 69 40 W10 15 4 1 NW 9 1225 W10 9884 P 08/03-00 11 5 1 66 42 W10 16 4 1 NW 8 314 W10 2757 P 08/03-01 11 5 1 63 46 W10 16 4 1 W 8 262 W10 2346 P 08/03-02 11 5 1 61 50 W12 17 4 1 W 9 210 W10 1935 P 08/03-03 11 5 1 60 52 W12 17 4 1 W10 158 W12 1525 P 08/03-04 11 5 1 59 52 W12 16 4 1 W10 162 W10 1512 P 08/03-05 11 5 1 59 51 W10 15 3 1 SW12 167 W10 1498 P 08/03-06 23 4 1 59 48 W 9 14 3 1 SW13 172 W10 1485 P 08/03-07 23 4 1 63 41 W 8 8 3 1 SW14 1851 W13 26275 P 08/03-08 23 4 1 70 32 W 7 7 4 1 SW14 3530 W15 51065 F 08/03-09 23 4 1 74 27 W 6 6 4 1 SW14 5209 W17 75854 G 08/03-10 23 4 1 78 24 SW 5 5 4 1 W14 6680 W16 96158 G 08/03-11 23 4 1 79 22 SW 3 3 3 1 W14 8151 W16 116462 V 08/03-12 23 3 1 80 21 SW 3 3 3 1 W14 9622 W16 136766 V 08/03-13 23 3 1 88 15 SW 5 5 3 1 W18 10065 W16 142101 V 08/03-14 23 3 1 84 17 W 6 6 4 1 W23 10507 W16 147435 V 08/03-15 23 3 1 84 17 W 7 7 4 1 W28 10950 W16 152770 E 08/03-16 23 3 1 81 18 W 7 7 4 1 W28 9374 W15 122595 V 08/03-17 23 3 1 83 17 W 7 7 4 1 W26 7799 W13 92421 G 08/03-18 25 3 1 78 20 W 7 7 4 1 W25 6224 W12 62247 G 08/03-19 25 3 1 73 25 W 6 6 4 1 W22 4242 NW 9 41886 F 08/03-20 25 3 1 66 31 NW 6 6 4 1 W18 2261 NW 7 21525 P 08/03-21 25 3 1 65 34 NW 5 5 4 1 W17 279 N 5 1164 P 08/03-22 25 3 1 60 41 NW 5 5 4 1 W21 750 N 5 3195 P 08/03-23 25 3 1 57 47 NW 5 5 3 1 W25 1221 N 5 5225 P 08/04-00 19 2 0 55 53 N 5 5 3 1 SW30 1692 N 5 7256 P 08/04-01 19 2 0 57 52 N 3 3 3 1 SW32 2146 NE 5 7138 P 08/04-02 19 2 0 59 52 N 3 3 2 1 SW32 2600 SE 3 7020 P 08/04-03 51 2 0 58 56 N 2 2 2 1 SW32 3054 S 2 6902 P 08/04-04 51 2 0 58 58 N 2 2 2 1 W35 3011 S 3 8618 P 08/04-05 51 2 0 57 63 N 2 2 2 1 W36 2968 S 3 10335 P 08/04-06 73 10 2 57 63 N 2 2 2 1 W36 2925 S 5 12051 P 08/04-07 73 10 2 60 56 N 3 3 2 1 W37 3724 S 6 21123 P 08/04-08 73 10 2 66 45 E 3 3 2 1 W37 4523 SW 7 30194 P 08/04-09 62 10 2 69 39 E 5 5 2 1 W36 5322 SW 8 39265 P 08/04-10 62 3 1 72 34 E 5 5 2 1 W36 5886 SW 9 45564 F 08/04-11 62 3 1 73 32 E 5 5 2 1 W36 6451 SW 9 51863 F 08/04-12 62 3 1 74 31 E 5 5 2 1 W35 7015 W 9 58161 F 08/04-13 62 3 1 80 25 E 6 6 2 1 W35 7078 W 8 50885 F 08/04-14 63 8 2 77 28 E 6 6 2 1 W33 7141 SW 7 43608 F 08/04-15 63 8 2 77 29 E 7 7 2 1 W32 7204 SW 6 36332 P 08/04-16 63 8 2 75 31 E 7 7 2 1 W30 6874 SW 6 36132 P 08/04-17 63 8 2 77 30 E 7 7 2 1 W28 6544 S 7 35932 P 08/04-18 43 8 2 73 35 E 7 7 2 1 W25 6215 S 7 35732 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JAY WILLETTE REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120801.UNDER.01/BOU