FNUS75 KBYZ 020430
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR MADEARIS...MILES CITY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
1030 PM MDT WED AUG 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2157 MDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

A FEW CLOUDS WILL MOVE OVER THE FIRE SITE TONIGHT BUT OTHERWISE
SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR TONIGHT WITH DECENT HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES CAN BE EXPECTED THURSDAY.
HOWEVER...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AREA POSSIBLE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AS WINDS WILL BE INCREASING AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT THAT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE FIRE SITE LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT. AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVING OVER SOUTHERN
ALBERTA WILL CAUSE INCREASING WINDS ALOFT THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE
AIRMASS BECOMING UNSTABLE. EXPECT A WARMER DAY WITH TEMPERATURES
IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S WITH HUMIDITIES FALLING INTO THE 15 TO
20 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON. AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM...POSSIBLY SEVERE... WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FIRE SITE
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL BRING A SHIFT TO STRONG NORTH TO
NORTHWEST WINDS WITH SPEEDS REACHING 15 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
MAX HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING
                    SHIFTING TO THE EAST OVERNIGHT.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE.
CWR.................9 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......14300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...HOOLEY
REQUESTED BY...JUDY REESE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120801.MADEA.01/BYZ