FNUS75 KBYZ 012040
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR NC RESERVATION...NC FIRE PROTECTION DEPT.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
240 PM MDT WED AUG 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1402 MDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THURSDAY TO 8 PM MDT
FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGES AND PERTINENT INFORMATION SUGGEST THE
FIRES ARE APPROXIMATELY 13-17 MILES NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE BUSBY
COMMUNITY AT THIS TIME. WE DO NOT EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO IMPACT
THE AREA TODAY OR THIS EVENING SO THERE IS NOT A THREAT OF ANY
STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS THIS EVENING. LOOK FOR NORTHWEST WINDS
OF 5 TO 10 MPH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THE REST OF THE DAY.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO TURN TO THE EAST/NORTHEAST THIS EVENING AND
BECOME SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. WESTERLY WINDS FROM ABOUT 290 DEGREES
WILL BEGIN TO TAKE OVER BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING AT 7 TO 15 MPH
AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. THIS MAY BEGIN TO PUSH ANY ACTIVE
FIRES TOWARD THE BUSBY COMMUNITY. A STRONG FRONTAL PASSAGE IS
EXPECTED BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 3 AM THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS HAS THE
POTENTIAL FOR STRONG NORTH WINDS AT 15 TO 25 MPH TO CROSS THE
ACTIVE FIRES FOR A FEW HOURS. THEREFORE...TOMORROW NIGHT WILL
LIKELY BE A CRITICAL TIME PERIOD FOR PEOPLE IN THE BUSBY
VICINITY. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS AT 10 TO 20 MPH ARE EXPECTED
FRIDAY AS WELL...THOUGH HUMIDITIES WILL BE HIGHER AND TEMPERATURES
COOLER.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTH 7 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MAX HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......750 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....92-97.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    INCREASING TO WEST/NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TESAR
REQUESTED BY...OTTO BRAIDED HAIR
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120801.NCRES.01/BYZ