FNUS73 KDTX 011015 FWSDTX SPOT FORECAST FOR JOCKS CREEK...MDNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 615 AM EDT WED AUG 1 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON AUGUST 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN TO THE REGION TODAY WITH DRY AND RELATIVELY CALM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST THURSDAY AS A COLD FRONT ENCROACHES ON THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL LINGER INTO THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS THIS FRONT CROSSES THE AREA AND THEN STALLS NEAR THE OHIO STATE LINE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE DAY. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING...THEN...INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (MAX...200). TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........34 34 34 34 34 34 29 24 19 15 10 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............72 75 77 79 81 82 83 83 83 83 82 RH..............78 73 66 60 55 52 50 49 50 52 56 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N NE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N NE EYE LVL WND SPD.8 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 3.5 4.6 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.4 5.8 5.6 4.2 2.4 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 VRATE (KT-FT)...100 100 100 100 200 200 200 200 200 200 100 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69. MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENTILATION RATE....POOR (MIN...0). TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........5 8 11 13 13 13 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............80 73 70 67 67 67 RH..............60 75 85 90 91 93 20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E SE S SW 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 4 E 4 E 4 SE 3 S 3 SW 3 EYE LEVEL WIND..5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....900 600 800 800 800 600 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 VRATE (KT-FT)...100 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...GURNEY REQUESTED BY...R MCKENZIE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120801.JOCKS.01/DTX