FNUS76 KMFR 012009
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAVA...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
109 PM PDT WED AUG 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1247 PDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ANOTHER SIMILAR PATTERN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TOMORROW
AT THE FIRE. MODERATE NORTHWEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR THIS EVENING WITH SOME GUSTS
IN THE LOW TO MID TEENS IN MPH. THEN...WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT WITH
DOWNSLOPE WEST WINDS BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...AND HIGH EARLY MORNING HUMIDITIES.
TOMORROW...WINDS WILL BE JUST A TOUCH LIGHTER...BUT THE SAME GENERAL PATTERN SHOULD
EXIST.  DO NOT EXPECT MUCH CHANGE IN MIN HUMIDITIES EITHER WITH MAYBE A TOUCH
HIGHER HUMDITIES TOMORROW. A HOT AND UNSTABLE DAY IS EXPECTED SATURDAY...AND THE
FIRST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR..
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 8 MPH LATE THIS
                    AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    13 MPH AFTER 1800L. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 2 TO 4 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL LATE THIS AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL
                    AFTER 2100L.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH LATE THIS
                    AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    15 MPH AFTER 1800L. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 3 TO 6 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-18 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST DOWNSLOPE WIND 0 TO 2 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    4 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH AFTER 1200L...AND SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AT 4 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH AFTER 1700L.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY MORNING INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST DOWNSLOPE WIND 1 TO 3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING WEST
                    5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH AFTER 1200L...AND SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AT 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH AFTER 1700L.

$$
FORECASTER...KEENE
REQUESTED BY...TOD JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120801.LAVA_.01/MFR