FNUS75 KMSO 011517
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOAT AND DITCH FIRES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
917 AM MDT WED AUG 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0755 PDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...UPPER LEVEL WEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE FIRE
TODAY BUT TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER. A TOP OF THE
FIRE WILL LIKELY SEE WEST WINDS TO 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. GIVEN
THE PARTIAL SHELTERING...LOWER ON THE FIRE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
BE TERRAIN/DIURNALLY DRIVEN. AN UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE FIRE THURSDAY AND WILL COOL THE
AIRMASS AND INCREASE WINDS. AHEAD OF THE FRONT WINDS WILL BE
SOUTHWEST IN THE MORNING TRANSITIONING TO NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. OUTSIDE OF THE TOP OF THE FIRE...THE
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL LIKELY NOT MIX TO THE FIRE GIVEN THE
SOUTHWEST ASPECT SHELTERING IT. TOP OF THE FIRE COULD SEE GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 30 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.
PRECIPITATION IS LIMITED WITH THIS SYSTEM SO OUTSIDE OF SOME
ISOLATED STORMS...WETTING RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH BECOMING WEST 5-8
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH AT THE TOP OF THE FIRE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5-6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE 2-4 MPH AFTER SUNSET. GUSTS TO 15
                    MPH AT THE TOP OF THE FIRE IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 2-4 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    6-9 MPH AND GUSTY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...JOSLYN OSBORN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120801.GOATA.01/MSO