FNUS75 KBYZ 021348
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG JOHN...MILES CITY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
727 AM MDT THU AUG 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0725 MDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM
MDT FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

EXPECT HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS AGAIN TODAY WITH A SHIFT TO WEST OR
NORTHWEST WINDS AT THE FIRE SITE THIS AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL
BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT STRONGEST WINDS WILL
BE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY DUE TO A STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.
EXPECT NORTHWESTERLY WIND GUSTS INTO THE 30S ON THE EXPOSED SLOPES
AND RIDGES TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. EXPECT A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
TO DEVELOP IN THE AREA TODAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL BE FOLLOWED BY
MUCH COOLER AND MORE HUMID AIR...AND THERE IS A CHANCE OF A
WETTING RAIN SHOWER ON FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR STORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-98.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH IN THE MORNING SHIFTING
                    TO THE WEST OR NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING WEST
                    10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR STORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH OVERNIGHT.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 15-25 MPH. GUSTS TO 35 MPH OVERNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 15-25 MPH. GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...LESTER
REQUESTED BY...TASHA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120802.BIGJO.02/BYZ