FNUS75 KBYZ 030128
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR TRAIL CREEK FIRE...BOZEMAN DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
728 PM MDT THU AUG 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1908 MDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
PUSH OF SOMEWHAT COOLER AIR HAS ALREADY REACHED THE FIRE SITE AND
NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT 15 TO 25 MPH ACROSS THE
AREA FOR MUCH OF THE EVENING. WINDS MAY TURN A BIT TO THE
NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT AS COOLER AIR CONTINUES INTO THE REGION. DUE
TO SHELTERING EFFECT WINDS MAY NOT BE THIS STRONG ON THE FIRE.
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS MOVING INTO THE
VICINITY BY 9 PM AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE NIGHT. LITTLE IF ANY
LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY. LOOK FOR TEMPERATURES
TO DROP THROUGH THE NIGHT AND HUMDITIES TO RISE INTO THE 55 TO 65
PERCENT RANGE.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY SOME
                    ISOLATED THUNDER.
CWR.................21 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...LITTLE OR NO CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........56-66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................24 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TESAR
REQUESTED BY...BOZEMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120802.TRAIL.01/BYZ