FNUS74 KLIX 012013 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR MOSSLER F...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 313 PM CDT WED AUG 1 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR ANOTHER FEW DAYS. IT WILL SHIFT WESTWARD TOWARD THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE MID/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCES OF RAIN OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK. 1.DO YOU ANTICIPATE THE LAKE BREEZE TO KICKIN BEFORE NOON IT SEEMS TO HAVE DONE THAT TODAY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY SURFACE HEATING FOR TODAY OCCURRED RATHER QUICKLY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. YESTERDAY MORNING...A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX PRODUCED EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER OVER THE AREA AND HAMPERED HEATING THROUGH NOON AND DELAYED THE INITIATION TIME OF LAKE BREEZE. SURFACE HEATING WAS INTENSE TODAY AS MANY LOCALES REACHED 90 DEGREES BY 11 AM THIS MORNING AND LAKE BREEZE DEVELOPED SHORTLY THEREAFTER. IF THERE IS NO CLOUD COVER THURSDAY MORNING...LAKE BREEZE WITH A SOUTHWEST WIND COULD DEVELOP AROUND NOON. EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER IS NOT ANTICIPATED THURSDAY MORNING. 2.WHAT IS THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CHANCES IN THE RX BURN AREA THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NIL TONIGHT. HOWEVER...THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO RETREAT BACK WEST. RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE UP TO 20 TO 30 PERCENT FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 3. IS THERE A POTENTIAL HEAT ADVISORY FOR TOMORROW. AT THIS TIME...WE WILL ALLOW THE HEAT ADVISORY TO EXPIRE AT 7 PM. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL CLIMB INTO THE 100 TO 105 DEGREE RANGE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. DEWPOINT READINGS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE SLIGHTLY INTO THE 71 TO 75 DEGREE RANGE. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........52 52 40 40 40 40 40 40 36 36 36 36 36 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TEMP............89 89 87 86 85 84 82 81 80 79 78 78 77 RH..............64 70 72 75 77 82 85 88 91 94 94 97 97 DEWPOINT........75 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.2 MIX HGT (KM)....1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 9 9 14 14 14 18 18 18 18 17 17 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 8 DISPERSION......44 44 4 4 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 27 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .THURSDAY... TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........36 41 41 41 41 41 41 52 52 52 52 52 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............76 76 80 84 88 90 92 92 93 93 93 92 RH..............97 97 85 74 66 62 58 58 56 56 56 58 DEWPOINT........75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.17 13 13 13 10 10 10 8 8 8 7 7 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 DISPERSION......27 15 15 15 36 36 36 33 33 33 28 28 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 .THURSDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........52 51 51 51 46 46 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............90 85 81 79 78 77 RH..............60 70 79 85 88 90 DEWPOINT........74 74 74 74 74 74 20 FT WIND......S 3 S 3 S 3 SW 3 SW 3 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....4700 4800 1500 1500 1500 1500 MIX HGT (M).....1430 1460 460 460 460 460 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 7 S 8 S 10 S 10 SW 13 SW 13 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 3 S 4 S 4 S 4 SW 6 SW 6 DISPERSION......28 5 7 7 8 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS LE ROUGE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120802.MOSSL.01/LIX