FNUS73 KLSX 022046
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BOYD...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
346 PM CDT THU AUG 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS A DISTURBANCE
MOVES FROM THE GREAT PLAINS ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. ANY STORMS
THAT DO DEVELOP MAY BRIEFLY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO EXIST TOMORROW...MORE LIKELY EARLY THAN LATE WITH
WINDS OUT OF THE EAST 5-10 MPH.


.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND
                    CHANCE OF RAIN.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................9-15 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 92.
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 3 TO 4 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND 7 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT-AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH WIND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................9-15 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 70.
RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....2 TO 3 MPH SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    OVERNIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    LIGHT LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1-8 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 98.
RH..................MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....3 TO 4 MPH VEERING FROM NORTHEAST TO SOUTHEAST
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
WIND...20 FT........LIGHT WIND IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 6 MPH DURING MID
                    AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 7
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (4367 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...GOSSELIN
REQUESTED BY...MARJORIE TWEEDALE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120802.BOYD_.01/LSX