FNUS72 KMFL 021036
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR CORBETT_WMA...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
636 AM EDT THU AUG 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
 A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED OVER THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE
AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE TROUGH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
TODAY OVER LAKE OKEECHOBEE HELPING TO GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING. A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD EVEN BECOME STRONG WITH GUSTY
WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES SHOULD ONLY FALL DOWN TO AROUND 50 PERCENT
THIS AFTERNOON...AS THE DISPERSION INDEX INCREASES TO AROUND 13
WITH WINDS INCREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH FROM THE SOUTHERLY DIRECTION.
THE DISPERSION INDEX WILL THEN FALL DOWN TO AROUND 1 FOR LATE
TONIGHT ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE
                    IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH INCREASING TO 0 TO 2 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 13 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........20     20     50     50     50     50
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........       S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............81     87     92     94     92     86
RH..............77     63     54     51     54     65
20 FT WIND......W 0    SW 1   SW 1   SE 2   SE 2   SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.                     5
MIX HGT (FT)....2400   4500   4500   5000   4500   4500
MIXNG WIND......W 0    SW 1   SW 1   S 2    S 2    S 2
DISPERSION IDX..0      7      7      13     12     12
LVORI...........4      3      3      2      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     40     40     40
LAL.............1      2      2      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 0 TO 1 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....1.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 56 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 0 TO 8
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....0 INCREASING TO 24 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 47 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 30 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BAXTER
REQUESTED BY...BOB HARRIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120802.CORBE.01/MFL