FNUS72 KMFL 021438
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH BROAD RIVER A...EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1038 AM EDT THU AUG 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE LOCATED ACROSS THE EXTREME
SOUTHERN PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA STRAITS TODAY RESULTING IN VERY
LIGHT WIND FLOW AT THE FIRE SITE. THERE WILL BE A SEA BREEZE
DEVELOP ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST BY LATE THIS MORNING AND THEN
PUSH SLOWLY INLAND BUT WIND SPEEDS EVEN WITH THIS BOUNDARY WILL
ONLY BE ABOUT 5 TO 7 MPH. THIS WILL RESULT IN DISPERSION
INCREASING BRIEFLY TO GENERALLY GOOD LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE
EARLY AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE A FEW SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS
MOVE ONSHORE THIS MORNING WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS DEVELOPING ALONG
THE BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVEMENT WILL BE VERY SLOWLY TO THE
NORTH.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    LATE IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1500...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....32 INCREASING TO 47 EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 37 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............1.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........20     30     30     30     30     30
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............90     92     92     87     84     79
RH..............56     51     51     59     66     78
20 FT WIND......SW 3   SW 3   SW 5   SW 4   SW 4   SW 1
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....5000   5000   5000   4000   4000   2100
MIXNG WIND......SW 6   SW 6   SW 8   SW 7   SW 7   SW 1
DISPERSION IDX..32     32     47     37     37     1
LVORI...........1      1      1      1      1      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     10
LAL.............2      2      2      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 96 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 1 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....1.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 56 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 21 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...MATT OTT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120802.SOUTH.01/MFL