FNUS72 KMLB 021224
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-91 ASTOR...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
824 AM EDT THU AUG 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST WINDS AND ADEQUATE MOISTURE LEVELS
WILL ALLOW SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP BY EARLY
AFTERNOON WEST OF THE BURN SITE AND MOVE NORTHEAST AND POSSIBLY AFFECT
THE BURN SITE BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED
BETWEEN 2 PM AND 5 PM DURING THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS. THE MAIN CONCERN
WITH STORMS WILL BE BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES
AND GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 6 TO 10 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4800 TO 5400 FT AGL IN THE AFTN.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....42.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....        CHC SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT CHC ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....        TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............85  86  88  89  90  89  88  86  84  83  81  80
RH..............70  65  59  56  56  57  55  60  64  67  72  74
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   8   8   9   9   8   7   6   4   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1600-2400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............6.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY AND HOT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800-5500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....36.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...VOLKMER
REQUESTED BY...JARED NOLBES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120802.C91AS.01/MLB