FNUS75 KMSO 021416
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONDON MTN FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
816 AM MDT THU AUG 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0741 MDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WINDY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE...

.DISCUSSION...FRONT STILL ON TRACK TO IMPACT THE FIRE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AHEAD OF THE FRONT, WINDS WILL INCREASE
FROM THE WEST AND FIRE WILL BE EXPOSED TO THESE STRONGER WINDS
GIVEN THE ASPECT AND ELEVATION. EXPECT THE MORNING INVERSIONS TO
BURN OFF BY LATE MORNING WITH WINDS MIXING TO THE FIRE AROUND
NOON. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND THICKNESS FROM THE
NORTH BY LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WHICH SHOULD HELP WITH
HIGHER HUMIDITIES AND MAY HELP OFFSET THE WINDS SOME. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR
THE FIRE STARTING AROUND 1800 MDT. THE FRONT WILL PASS OVER THE
FIRE AROUND 2100 MDT TURNING THE WINDS MORE NORTHERLY THAT WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AND FRIDAY. INCREASED CLOUDS AND
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL ALLOW FOR BETTER RECOVERIES TONIGHT WITH
THERMAL BELTS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 BOTTOM...66-72 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT BOTTOM...23-28 PERCENT TOP.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 3-5 MPH BECOMING WEST WINDS 5-15 MPH
                    AFTER 1000 MDT. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH AND GUSTY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING NORTH 4-8 MPH AFTER 2100 MDT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS, MAINLY IN THE
                    MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
                    THE DAY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73 BOTTOM...60-65 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT BOTTOM...33-38 PERCENT TOP.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 3-6 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...CHUCK MCHUGH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120802.CONDO.01/MSO