FNUS75 KMSO 020212
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR FALLS POINT FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
812 PM MDT WED AUG 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0530 MDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BE APPROACHING THE FIRE SITE
THIS MORNING. THE FIRE LOCATION IS IN A VERY VULNERABLE SPOT FOR
INCREASING WEST WINDS THIS MORNING...PEAKING DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING. CLOUDS WILL BE SPREADING OVER THE AREA BY LATE
MORNING AND THICKENING DURING THE AFTERNOON. COOLER TEMPERATURES AND
HIGHER HUMIDITIES SHOULD HELP OFFSET SOME OF THE EFFECT OF WINDS.
THE BEST CHANCE OF ANY PRECIPITATION WILL OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

FRIDAY...A NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES
AND ELEVATED HUMIDITIES TO THE FIRE SITE. DRIER AIR WILL BE MOVING
BACK INTO NORTHWEST MONTANA BY FRIDAY EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS THIS MORNING. THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
CWR.................LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-10 MPH INCREASING TO 15-20 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH
                    THIS EVENING. BECOMING WEST 6-10 MPH AFTER DARK.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...MSJ
REQUESTED BY...WARREN APPELHANS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120802.FALLS.01/MSO