FNUS75 KTFX 021940
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOBLIN GULCH...FS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
140 PM MDT THU AUG 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1335 MDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE BURN AREA THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY
WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
WHILE THE EXACT TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT OVER THE BURN AREA IS
UNCERTAIN...A 6 PM TO 8 PM TIME FRAME LOOKS GOOD. WINDS BEHIND
THE FRONT WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND REMAIN GUSTY FOR
SEVERAL HOURS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE TONIGHT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL DROP INTO THE 15 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE WITH GOOD
OVERNIGHT RECOVERY.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................5 PERCENT
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST WINDS 20-25 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES..............3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 15
                    TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES..............3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...EMANUEL
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120802.GOBLI.02/TFX