FNUS73 KUNR 022040
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR TURKEY HILL...BKF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
240 PM MDT THU AUG 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1421 MDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD
BECOME SEVERE WITH ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING. LIGHT SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE A LITTLE THIS
AFTERNOON...BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT DOWNSLOPE LATE THIS EVENING. A
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE FIRE AREA EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...AROUND 800 AM OR SO. BEHIND THE FRONT...GUSTY NORTHWEST
WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL BE COMMON FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 88.
RH..................MIN 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    BY 500 PM SHIFTING SLIGHTLY TO THE SOUTHEAST.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 TO 8700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 62.
RH..................MAX 72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT DOWNSLOPE WIND BECOMING WEST 3 TO 6 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 TO 700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 23 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 8 TO
                    13 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR DECREASING TO POOR AFTER SUNSET.

$$
FORECASTER...MS
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120802.TURKE.01/UNR