FNUS75 KABQ 040023
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR CERRO DEL A...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
623 PM MDT FRI AUG 3 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A BROAD AREA OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PASSING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS. SOME SHOWERS MAY BE ABLE TO
OVERCOME DOWNSLOPING AFFECTS WITH LIGHTER PRECIPITATION REACHING
THE FIRE MAINLY THIS EVENING. SATURDAY...MODEST MONSOON MOISTURE
OVER THE STATE SHOULD INTERACT WITH AN UPPER LOW EXITING THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES TO PRODUCE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED STORMS IS EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN MOSTLY
                       CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49-53.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 64-69 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/76000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING BECOMING
                       POOR/2000 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR SATURDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING. BECOMING
                       MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH  A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76-80.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 34-39 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                       SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 13 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD/143000 KNOT-FT AT 1500 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/40017 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING VERY GOOD/143000 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...44

$$

REQUESTED BY...KYLE SAHD
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120803.CERRO.02/ABQ