FNUS72 KMFL 031159
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR CORBETT...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
759 AM EDT FRI AUG 3 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON AUGUST 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT
NORTH TODAY WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN A LOW LEVEL EAST WIND FLOW.
THIS WILL ALLOW THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE TO SET UP EARLIER THAN
THE PAST FEW DAYS AND WILL REACH THE FIRE SITE BY LATE THIS
MORNING BUT STILL WIND SPEEDS WILL BE LESS THAN 10 MPH. DISPERSION
WILL BE POOR TO FAIR THIS MORNING THEN BECOMING GENERALLY GOOD BY
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY AS
THE UNSETTLED WEATHER OVER THE BAHAMAS SPREADS WESTWARD SO THERE
COULD BE A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON NEAR THE FIRE SITE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 57 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 44.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........40     40     40     40     40     40
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............88     92     92     90     89     85
RH..............75     60     58     60     65     72
20 FT WIND......E 2    E 4    NE 5   NE 5   E 6    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2600   5000   5000   5000   4500   4500
MIXNG WIND......E 5    E 6    NE 8   NE 8   E 10   E 12
DISPERSION IDX..14     33     47     47     40     40
LVORI...........4      1      1      1      1      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     40     40     40
LAL.............2      2      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 97 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 62 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....17 INCREASING TO 53 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...BOB HARRIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120803.CORBE.02/MFL