FNUS76 KMFR 031925
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAVA...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1225 PM PDT FRI AUG 3 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1149 PDT ON AUGUST 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
...HOTTER AND DRIER WEATHER TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER THE
INCIDENT AND WILL LEAD TO HOTTER AND DRIER WEATHER TODAY AND
ESPECIALLY SATURDAY. OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERIES WILL STILL BE
GOOD BUT NOT AS MOIST AS WE HAVE SEEN LATELY AS THE FLOW BECOMES
MORE OFFSHORE. SATURDAY WILL LIKELY SEE THE HOTTEST AND DRIEST
AFTERNOON WE'VE SEEN SINCE THE INCIDENT BEGAN. AS THE RIDGE BREAKS
DOWN SATURDAY NIGHT...MOISTURE WILL STREAM NORTHWARD AND SET THE
STAGE FOR THUNDERSTORMS. IT LOOKS LIKE LIGHTNING IS A GOOD BET
OVER THE INCIDENT SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL LEAD TO A
LITTLE COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES BUT PROBABLY NOT
ENOUGH TO HELP.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-14 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....S-SE 2-4 MPH THROUGH 1500L THEN BECOMING N-NE
                    5-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NE 8-12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........S-SE 3-5 MPH THROUGH 1500L THEN BECOMING N-NE
                    7-9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 14 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-72 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NE 5-7 MPH THROUGH 2300L THEN DECREASING
                    TO 1-2 MPH AND BECOMING SE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 1000 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NE LOWERING TO 3-5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NE 7-10 MPH THROUGH 2300L THEN DECREASING TO
                    1-2 MPH AND BECOMING SE.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY AND HOT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-95.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SE 1-3 MPH THROUGH 1500L THEN BECOMING N-NE AND
                    INCREASING TO 5-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NE 5-10 MPH THROUGH NOON THEN BECOMING WEST
                    5-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........S-SE 2-4 MPH THROUGH 1500L THEN BECOMING N-NE
                    7-9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 14 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...TOD JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120803.LAVA_.01/MFR