FNUS75 KRIW 050940
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR FONTENELLE...USFS BTF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
340 AM MDT SUN AUG 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2025 MDT ON AUGUST 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
IT WILL BE DRY AND WARM TODAY WITH AN AFTERNOON WEST BREEZE. A
DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE UP FROM THE SOUTH LATER TONIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING BRINGING AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ALL DAY MONDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...SKRBAC

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-16 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-6300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000-9500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (60000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (113500 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........69-79 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700-7700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500-2000 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (71400 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (25000
                    KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-27 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11 TO 15 MPH GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.15 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8700-9700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (50700-10600 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...SKRBAC
REQUESTED BY...LANCASTER
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120804.FONTE.01/RIW