FNUS73 KLSX 051347
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PATTERSON MTN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
847 AM CDT SUN AUG 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0814 CDT ON AUGUST 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE SPOT AREA NOW. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME NORTHWESTERLY...THEN NORTHERLY THROUGHOUT THE DAY. THESE WINDS
SHOULD ALSO PICK UP WITH SOME GUSTS AT TIME POSSIBLE ONCE THE CLOUDS
CLEAR OUT OF THE AREA. A SMALL AREA OF SHOWERS IS CURRENTLY HEADED
TOWARD THE SPOT AREA. AN ADDITIONAL ONE...PERHAPS TWO...TENTHS OF AN
INCH OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE. CAN NOT RULE OUT A STRAY LIGHTNING STRIKE
BUT THIS IS UNLIKELY. EXPECT THE PRECIPITATION TO CLEAR THE SPOT AREA
BY NOON...WITH ONLY CLOUDS LINGERING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING MID
                    AND LATE MORNING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 1100...THEN 1-8 STRIKES
                    UNTIL 1300...THEN NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........76 AT REQUEST...MAX 89.
RH..................82 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTHWEST TO NORTH AROUND 4 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT REQUEST...GRADUALLY
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...4800 FT AGL AT
                    MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (9756 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61.
RH..................MAX 77 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTH AROUND 3 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........NORTH WIND AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL LATE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 91.
RH..................MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTHEAST LIGHT WINDS.
WIND...20 FT........NORTHEAST LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (6567 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...TILLY
REQUESTED BY...MARJORIE TWEEDALE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120805.PATTE.01/LSX