FNUS74 KLZK 051452 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR PAGODA FIRE...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 952 AM CDT SUN AUG 5 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0925 CDT ON AUGUST 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT OVER NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO DROP SLOWLY SOUTHWARD LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. IT APPEARS THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA WILL BE AFTER 4 OR 5 PM TODAY. GUSTY WINDS AND SOME HAIL WILL ACCOMPANY SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS. RAIN CHANCES WILL DIMINISH LATER TONIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........89 AT REQUEST...MAX 97. RH..................51 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 38 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 1 TO 9 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 6000 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....1. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS WEST AT 3 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............89 90 91 93 94 95 96 97 97 RH..............51 50 49 47 46 43 41 40 42 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W N 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W W W W W N EYE LVL WND SPD.3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW W SW S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 7 8 10 13 13 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 40 40 40 40 40 40 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 74. RH..................MAX 94 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 2 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. STABILITY CLASS.....5. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............93 91 89 87 84 82 81 79 78 77 76 75 RH..............42 53 57 62 66 71 75 79 83 86 88 90 20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE EYE LVL WND SPD.3 2 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 EYE LVL WND GST.3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 10 10 10 9 8 7 5 3 2 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 $$ FORECASTER...44 REQUESTED BY...AOICC TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120805.PAGOD.01/LZK