FNUS76 KMFR 052342
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAVA...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
442 PM PDT SUN AUG 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1619 PDT ON AUGUST 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE
THROUGH THIS EVENING. INITIALLY STORMS WILL START OUT DRY...BUT
ARE EXPECTED TO TREND WET THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DECREASE
TONIGHT...BUT PROBABLY NOT ENDING UNTIL MONDAY MORNING WHEN MOST OF THE
ACTION EXPECTED TO BE FOCUSED NORTH AND EAST OF THE BURN AREA. THE MAIN
CONCERN THROUGH TONIGHT WILL BE GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS NEAR AND UNDER
THUNDERSTORMS. AFTER TONIGHT...HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS RIDGING GRADUALLY BUILDS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING LESS
                    FREQUENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2-5 MPH EXCEPT FOR GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS UP TO 12 MPH NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN 10 PERCENT.
LAL.................4.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 6-12 MPH EXCEPT FOR GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS UP TO 25 MPH NEAR AND UNDER THUNDERSTORMS.


.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY..
MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-94.
MIN HUMIDITY........6 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 0-2 MPH IN THE MORNING. SOUTHWEST 2-5 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 1-3 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN SOUTH 5-9 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...LIFC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120805.LAVA_.01/MFR