FNUS75 KRIW 061044
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR FONTENELLE...USFS BTF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
444 AM MDT MON AUG 6 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1942 MDT ON AUGUST 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE LIFTING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY LEADING TO SCATTERED MORNING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FOR THIS AFTERNOON.
TUESDAY WILL BE DRY AGAIN AND A LITTLE WARMER AGAIN ALONG WITH LOWER
MIN RH'S AGAIN.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...SKRBAC

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING WEST 10 TO 12
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 15 TO 20
                    MPH AFTER NOON.
LAL.................3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000-7500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 12 TO 17
                    MPH AFTER NOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (65600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (10600 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SMALL CHANCE
                    OF A LINGERING SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM UNTIL
                    2000L.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH AND GUSTY UNTIL 2000L
                    THEN DOWNSLOPE 5-9 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15-20 MPH...DECREASING TO 10 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15...DECREASING TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (79000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (10000
                    KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-16 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-7400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000-9500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (70000-95000 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...SKRBAC
REQUESTED BY...USFS
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120805.FONTE.01/RIW