FNUS75 KRIW 061104 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR NYLANDER...USFS BTF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 504 AM MDT MON AUG 6 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1741 MDT ON AUGUST 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... A WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE LIFTING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA TODAY LEADING TO SCATTERED MORNING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FOR THIS AFTERNOON. TUESDAY WILL BE DRY AGAIN AND A LITTLE WARMER AGAIN ALONG WITH LOWER MIN RH'S AGAIN. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...SKRBAC .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80. MIN HUMIDITY........18-21 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH AFTER NOON. LAL.................3. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-5400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000-8500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (63300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (105000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SMALL CHANCE OF A LINGERING SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM UNTIL 2000L. MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-49. MAX HUMIDITY........56-59 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10-13 MPH...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 5-9 MPH AFTER 2000L. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 MPH. LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (53000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (9600 KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-85. MIN HUMIDITY........14-17 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-7200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000-9500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (85000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (174300 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...SKRBAC REQUESTED BY...USFS REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120805.NYLAN.01/RIW