FNUS75 KBOU 062256 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR TROUGH SAR...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 456 PM MDT MON AUG 6 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE IN THE AREA THROUGH ABOUT 8 PM. MOST OF THE SHOWERS ARE ONLY PRODUCING LIGHT RAINFALL AND CLOUD BASES ARE GENERALLY AROUND 15-16 THOUSAND FT MSL. CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THERE MAY BE A BREAK SOON WITH ANOTHER AREA OF LIGHT SHOWERS PASSING AROUND 6 PM...THEN ANOTHER BREAK. LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE TIMING OF THE SHOWERS...BUT THERE SHOULD BE GOOD BREAKS IN BETWEEN THEM THAT WOULD ALLOW FOR A RESCUE. IN GENERAL THE MOUNTAIN SHOULD NOT BE OBSCURED...THOUGH THIS COULD OCCUR BRIEFLY IN A SHOWER. WINDS OUTSIDE OF THE SHOWERS ARE LIGHT...PEAK WINDS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF THE SHOWERS BUT THEY WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHTER THAN THAT. SHOWERS WILL END THIS EVENING WITH CLOUDS ABOVE THE MOUNTAIN TOP THROUGH NOON TUESDAY. LESS SHOWER ACTIVITY EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH CLOUDS STILL GENERALLY ABOVE THE MOUNTAIN AND ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF BRIEF MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION IN SHOWERS. FEEL FREE TO CALL US FOR THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200. MIN TEMPERATURE.....49. MAX HUMIDITY........48%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 0900...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60. MIN HUMIDITY........26%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 11-17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE MORNING. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....44. MAX HUMIDITY........43%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....61. MIN HUMIDITY........20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHEAST 7-13 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TROUGH SAR. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/06-16 86 36 14 63 29 SW 5 5 4 4 SW21 10109 W 8 73004 G 08/06-17 86 36 14 62 31 SW 3 3 4 4 W23 9522 W 9 76127 G 08/06-18 73 36 14 60 34 SW 3 3 4 4 W24 8935 W10 79250 G 08/06-19 73 36 14 58 38 SW 3 3 4 4 W22 6985 W 9 60351 G 08/06-20 73 36 14 55 43 SW 5 5 4 4 W20 5035 W 9 41453 F 08/06-21 73 36 14 53 47 SW 6 6 4 4 W17 3085 W 8 22555 P 08/06-22 73 6 1 52 47 SW 6 6 4 1 W17 2130 W 8 15525 P 08/06-23 73 6 1 52 47 W 7 7 4 1 W17 1176 W 8 8494 P 08/07-00 34 6 1 51 47 W 8 8 4 1 W18 221 W 8 1464 P 08/07-01 34 6 1 50 48 W 9 9 4 1 W21 219 W 9 1642 P 08/07-02 34 6 1 50 48 W10 16 4 1 W23 217 W 9 1820 P 08/07-03 34 6 1 49 48 NW12 18 4 1 W24 214 W10 1998 P 08/07-04 34 6 1 49 48 NW12 18 4 1 W25 222 W12 2137 P 08/07-05 34 6 1 49 47 NW12 18 4 1 W26 229 NW12 2277 P 08/07-06 21 14 3 49 47 NW12 18 4 2 W26 237 NW12 2416 P 08/07-07 21 14 3 49 47 NW13 21 4 2 W25 1974 NW13 24525 P 08/07-08 21 14 3 51 44 NW15 24 4 2 W25 3712 NW14 46634 F 08/07-09 55 14 3 55 39 NW16 25 4 2 W25 5449 NW15 68743 G 08/07-10 55 16 3 57 34 NW15 24 4 3 W26 7405 NW15 93469 G 08/07-11 55 16 3 58 31 N13 21 4 3 W29 9360 NW15 118195 V 08/07-12 68 16 3 59 28 N10 16 4 3 W31 11315 NW15 142921 V 08/07-13 68 24 5 60 26 N 9 9 4 3 W32 11568 NW14 134640 V 08/07-14 68 24 5 60 26 N 9 9 4 3 W32 11821 NW13 126358 V 08/07-15 68 24 5 60 27 N 9 9 4 3 W32 12074 NW12 118077 V 08/07-16 68 24 5 57 30 N 9 9 4 3 NW31 11293 NW10 103527 V 08/07-17 68 24 5 58 32 N 9 9 4 3 NW30 10513 N 9 88978 G 08/07-18 60 24 5 56 31 N 9 15 4 3 NW29 9797 N 9 75980 G 08/07-19 60 24 5 54 35 N 8 13 4 3 NW28 6877 N 8 52392 F 08/07-20 60 24 5 51 38 N 7 7 4 3 NW26 3958 N 7 28803 P 08/07-21 60 24 5 49 41 N 6 6 4 3 NW26 1038 N 6 5215 P 08/07-22 60 24 5 48 38 N 6 6 4 3 NW26 804 N 6 4138 P 08/07-23 60 24 5 47 36 N 6 6 4 3 NW26 570 N 7 3062 P 08/08-00 32 0 0 46 35 N 6 6 4 1 N26 335 N 7 1985 P 08/08-01 32 0 0 46 35 N 6 6 4 1 N25 307 N 6 1545 P 08/08-02 32 0 0 45 36 NW 5 5 4 1 N25 279 N 5 1106 P 08/08-03 32 0 0 45 38 NW 5 5 4 1 N24 251 NW 3 666 P 08/08-04 32 0 0 45 39 NW 5 5 4 1 N22 235 NW 3 660 P 08/08-05 32 0 0 45 40 NW 6 6 5 1 N21 219 NW 3 654 P 08/08-06 19 0 0 44 42 NW 6 6 5 1 N20 203 NW 3 648 P 08/08-07 19 0 0 45 43 NW 6 6 5 1 N18 1792 NW 5 10065 P 08/08-08 19 0 0 48 41 NW 5 5 4 1 N17 3381 N 6 19483 P 08/08-09 19 0 0 53 35 NW 5 5 4 1 N17 4971 N 7 28901 P 08/08-10 19 0 0 56 29 N 5 5 4 1 N16 6575 N 7 37861 P 08/08-11 19 0 0 58 25 NE 5 5 4 1 N15 8179 N 7 46821 F 08/08-12 41 0 0 59 22 NE 5 5 4 1 N14 9784 N 7 55781 F 08/08-13 41 0 0 61 20 NE 6 6 4 1 N13 10047 N 5 44216 F 08/08-14 41 10 2 61 20 NE 7 7 4 2 N13 10310 N 3 32652 P 08/08-15 41 10 2 60 20 E 8 13 4 2 NW13 10573 N 2 21088 P 08/08-16 41 10 2 58 22 E 8 13 4 2 NW12 10246 NW 2 18579 P 08/08-17 41 10 2 58 22 E 7 7 4 2 NW12 9920 W 2 16071 P 08/08-18 39 10 2 56 24 E 6 6 4 2 NW10 9594 CALM 13563 P 08/08-19 39 10 2 53 27 E 5 5 4 2 NW 9 6502 SW 2 9472 P 08/08-20 39 10 2 50 31 E 3 3 4 2 NW 8 3410 S 3 5382 P 08/08-21 39 3 1 48 35 E 3 3 4 1 NW 8 318 SE 5 1291 P 08/08-22 39 3 1 47 37 SE 3 3 4 1 NW 8 304 SE 6 1381 P 08/08-23 39 3 1 47 39 S 3 3 4 1 W 9 291 S 6 1470 P 08/09-00 24 3 1 45 42 SW 5 5 4 1 W 9 277 S 7 1560 P 08/09-01 24 3 1 45 43 SW 6 6 4 1 NW10 268 S 7 1582 P 08/09-02 24 3 1 44 45 W 7 7 4 1 NW12 258 SW 7 1604 P 08/09-03 24 3 1 44 46 W 8 13 4 1 NW12 248 W 8 1626 P 08/09-04 24 3 1 43 46 W 8 14 4 1 NW12 220 W 7 1429 P 08/09-05 24 3 1 43 45 W 8 14 4 1 NW10 193 W 7 1232 P 08/09-06 22 3 1 43 45 W 8 13 4 1 NW10 165 W 7 1035 P 08/09-07 22 3 1 44 44 W 8 13 4 1 NW10 1652 W 8 12625 P 08/09-08 22 3 1 48 38 W 7 7 4 1 NW12 3140 W 8 24216 P 08/09-09 22 3 1 55 29 W 7 7 4 1 NW13 4627 W 9 35807 P 08/09-10 22 15 3 60 24 W 7 7 4 3 NW14 7367 W 9 59876 F 08/09-11 22 15 3 63 21 SW 6 6 4 3 NW16 10107 W 9 83945 G 08/09-12 50 15 3 65 19 SW 6 6 4 3 NW17 12847 NW 9 108014 V 08/09-13 50 15 3 68 17 W 6 6 4 3 NW17 13049 NW 9 101357 V 08/09-14 50 17 3 68 17 W 5 5 4 3 NW17 13251 NW 8 94700 G 08/09-15 50 17 3 67 18 W 5 5 4 3 NW17 13453 NW 8 88043 G 08/09-16 50 17 3 64 20 NW 3 3 4 3 NW17 12292 W 7 78526 G 08/09-17 50 17 3 64 21 N 2 2 4 3 NW17 11131 W 7 69008 G 08/09-18 56 19 4 61 24 CALM 1 4 3 NW18 9970 W 7 59491 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JOHN FEEKES REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20120806.TROUG.01/BOU