FNUS72 KJAX 061457 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR HOG VALLEY...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 1057 AM EDT MON AUG 6 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1010 EDT ON AUGUST 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LOW PRESSURE OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE WILL DRIFT FARTHER WEST THROUGH MID WEEK AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHEAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES THIS WEEK. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS THIS AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING NUMEROUS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3 UNTIL 1700...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-3000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 1 TO 9 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 36. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........40 50 61 72 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 87 88 87 RH..............85 71 61 65 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2100 2800 3000 2800 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 9 S 9 S 9 DISPERSION INDX.7 37 38 36 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 40 60 LAL.............2 3 3 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BECOMING ISOLATED. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....28 DECREASING TO 5. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. LVORI...............6. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........78 72 57 42 33 35 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE TEMP............85 81 78 77 76 75 RH..............68 77 83 86 88 91 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 2 SE 1 S 1 S 1 S 1 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 1600 1100 900 800 600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 9 S 7 S 6 S 7 S 7 LVORI...........3 3 4 6 6 6 DISPERSION INDX.30 19 10 4 4 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 50 30 10 10 10 LAL.............4 3 3 1 1 1 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING NUMEROUS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 41 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 29 IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...STRUBLE REQUESTED BY...BRAD WHITTINGTON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120806.HOGVA.01/JAX