FNUS73 KUNR 061941
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRUSH CREEK...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
141 PM MDT MON AUG 6 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1302 MDT ON AUGUST 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...
HOT TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AT THE FIRE
FALLING TO 15 PERCENT OR SO. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A
SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. IF A
SHOWER OR STORM DOES FORM NEAR THE FIRE...EXPECT GUSTY WINDS WITH
LITTLE TO NO PRECIPITATION. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT
WITH A SHIFT TO A MORE SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 94.
RH..................MIN 15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 TO 13000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 64.
RH..................MAX 55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 TO 1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 91.
RH..................MIN 20 TO 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................11 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13900 TO 14900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...MS
REQUESTED BY...LOOK OUT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120806.BRUSH.01/UNR