FNUS76 KMFR 080435
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BILL...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
935 PM PDT TUE AUG 7 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2058 PDT ON AUGUST 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST UPPER FLOW WILL REMAIN OVER THE INCIDENT
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AS A RIDGE REMAINS EAST OF THE AREA AND
A TROUGH OFFSHORE. THIS WILL RESULT IN LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURE
AND HUMIDITIES THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS WILL BE LARGELY DIURNALLY
DRIVEN WITH SLOPE WINDS AND NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING AND WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE ATMOSPHERE MIXES. THE UPPER
RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD WESTWARD FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND...RESULTING
IN INCREASING TEMPERATURES AND LOWER HUMIDITIES. WE MAY ALSO SEE
OFFSHORE FLOW OVER THE WEEKEND WHICH WOULD CAUSE POOR RECOVERIES
AND GUSTIER WINDS.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE 0-2 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE
                    1-2 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING...THEN BECOMING
                    WEST TO NORTHWEST 3-5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING
                    INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE 1-3 MPH...BECOMING UPSLOPE
                    1-3 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55%.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3-5 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE 1-2 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 500-1000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST AND DECREASING TO 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH IN THE EVENING...DECREASING
                    TO 3-5 MPH OVERNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING UPSLOPE 1-2 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING...
                    THEN BECOMING WEST TO NORTHWEST 4-7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING
                    INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE 1-3 MPH...BECOMING UPSLOPE
                    1-3 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 8-13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.


$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...PAUL GIBB
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120807.BILL_.02/MFR