FNUS76 KMFR 080001
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DILLON INCIDENT...USDA FOREST SERVICE HAPPY CAMP RD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
501 PM PDT TUE AUG 7 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1626 PDT ON AUGUST 07. 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
EXPECT REGULAR DIURNAL WINDS THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS SOUTH TO 
SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES AT AND ABOVE RIDGE TOP LEVEL. WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THE WEEKEND THERE WILL BE OFFSHORE FLOW EACH NIGHT AT AND NEAR 
THE RIDGES, MOST NOTABLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WILL
CAUSE HIGHER ELEVATION RIDGE TOP RECOVERIES TO BE MODERATE TO POOR. FOR
LOWER ELEVATIONS SUCH AS WHERE THE FIRE IS NOW, THIS WILL MEAN THAT 
AFTERNOONS WILL BE VERY DRY WITH SOME GUSTY DIURNAL WINDS. 

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55. 
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85 PERCENT. 
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPVALLEY 1-3 MPH, BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 1-3 MPH 
                    AROUND SUNSET, THEN NORTH DOWNVALLEY 1-3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL THIS EVENING, BECOMING 500 FT AGL OR 
                    LESS SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. 
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5-15 MPH, BECOMING DOWNSLOPE SOUTHWEST
                    5-10 MPH, THEN NORTH 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT. 
LAL.................1. 
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5-10 MPH, BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH 
                    AROUND SUNSET, THEN NORTH DOWNVALLEY 5-10 MPH.  


.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....99-104. 
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT. 
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING UPSLOPE 1-3 MPH ONCE IN THE SUN, THEN
                    UPVALLEY SOUTH 2-4 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL LATE IN 
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE 
                    AFTERNOON. 
MIXING WINDS........BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5-15 MPH LATE MORNING, THEN SOUTH
                    10-20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
CWR.................0 PERCENT. 
LAL.................1. 
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 5-10 MPH, BECOMING SOUTH 7-15 MPH IN THE 
                    LATE AFTERNOON. 


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER
90S. LIGHTER WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS 98 TO 103. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS 102 TO 103. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 102. LIGHT WINDS.


$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...TERRY WALTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120807.DILLO.01/MFR