FNUS75 KABQ 081824
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR CERRO DEL A...NM-CAF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1224 PM MDT WED AUG 8 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
WEAK BACK DOOR COLD FRONT PUSH INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY OVERNIGHT
SO LOW LEVEL MOISTURE EXISTS BUT A SIGNIFICANT MID LEVEL DRY SLOT
HAS PUNCHED INTO THE NORTHEAST THIRD OF THE STATE AND WILL
GRADUALLY PUSH SOUTH AND SLIGHTLY WESTWARD DURING THE DAY. STORMS
WILL FIRE UP ALONG THIS MOISTURE GRADIENT BUT WILL MOST LIKELY
REMAIN TO THE WEST OF THE FIRE LOCATION. STORMS WILL MOVE TOWARDS
THE WEST/SOUTHWEST TODAY. SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCE ON THURSDAY
ALTHOUGH THE FOOTPRINT OF WETTING RAIN WOULD BE PRETTY SMALL
WITH GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS BEING THE MAIN EFFECT. UPPER HIGH
CENTERED OVER NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE ON THURSDAY SO
LIGHTER AND MORE VARIABLE WIND FLOWS OVERALL.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77-81.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 23-28 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTH/NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING
                       TO THE EAST/NORTHEAST 8 TO 11 MPH AS THE
                       AFTERNOON PROGRESSES. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                       THE AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......13000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/96000 KNOT-FT AT 1200 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/86180 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING GOOD/65963 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EARLY EVENING.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49-53.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 55-60 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING
                       BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/60000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING BECOMING
                       POOR/1000 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR THURSDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY SUNNY MORNING. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A
                       CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING
                       THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80-84.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 27-32 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........MAINLY TERRAIN DOMINATED WIND 5 TO 7 MPH.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......13500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......EAST 5 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR/48000 KNOT-FT AT 1200 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/42914 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING POOR/16142 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...50

$$

REQUESTED BY...BENSON
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120808.CERRO.01/ABQ